Compostela 1-0 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.36/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.36
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
558 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Llanera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2022 Compostela Compostela 0-1 HT 0-1 Llanera Llanera İS4
23.10.2021 Llanera Llanera 1-2 HT 1-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela nicked a narrow win over Llanera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Compostela and 1.00 for Llanera.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Llanera?

Compostela 1-0 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Compostela 48%, draw 27%, Llanera 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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