Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 Anguiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Anguiano EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.36/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.49
-13% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-0
AWAY Anguiano
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Anguiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past Anguiano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Alaves II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 58% of the ball to Anguiano's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Anguiano?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 Anguiano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Anguiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 48%, draw 25%, Anguiano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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