17/11/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ejea vs Utebo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
28%
Draw
30%
32%
Away Win
30%
61%
Under 2.5
59%
39%
Over 2.5
41%
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
59%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ejea v Utebo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ejea
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Utebo
EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-10%
1.34/0.90
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.78/1.22
+11%
/
+7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
-9%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
298 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
236 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.9
POST-MATCH
Ejea vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ejea and Utebo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ejea vs Utebo?
Ejea 2-2 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ejea vs Utebo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ejea 40%, draw 28%, Utebo 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Ejea)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024