Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
1.12/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-0
AWAY Numancia
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Torrelavega nicked a narrow win over Numancia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Gimnastica Torrelavega made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 48% of the ball to Numancia's 52%, shots finished 7-5.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Numancia?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 29%, draw 33%, Numancia 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Numancia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024
00:00 Europa vs Sant Andreu Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:30 Melilla vs CD Coria Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Tenerife II Analysis →
14:00 CD Guadalajara vs Illescas Analysis →