Juventud Torremolinos 2-0 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +24%
1.65/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.77
+17% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud Torremolinos
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Granada II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2023 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
26.11.2022 Granada II Granada II 4-2 HT 1-1 Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud Torremolinos
2-0
AWAY Granada II
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventud Torremolinos vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud Torremolinos got the better of Granada II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Juventud Torremolinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventud Torremolinos had 37% of the ball to Granada II's 63%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Granada II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventud Torremolinos and 2.50 for Granada II.

What was the final score of Juventud Torremolinos vs Granada II?

Juventud Torremolinos 2-0 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud Torremolinos vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud Torremolinos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventud Torremolinos 40%, draw 25%, Granada II 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventud Torremolinos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventud Torremolinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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