17/11/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Real Avila vs CD Laredo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
23%
Draw
25%
19%
Away Win
13%
63%
Under 2.5
65%
37%
Over 2.5
35%
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
64%
BTTS No
68%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Avila v CD Laredo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Real Avila
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
CD Laredo
EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-12%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
+14%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
380 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.1
POST-MATCH
Real Avila vs CD Laredo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Real Avila squeezed past CD Laredo 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Real Avila as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Real Avila vs CD Laredo?
Real Avila 1-0 CD Laredo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Avila vs CD Laredo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 58%, draw 23%, CD Laredo 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Real Avila)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024