17/11/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Tudelano vs Eibar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
31%
Draw
30%
36%
Away Win
36%
63%
Under 2.5
62%
37%
Over 2.5
38%
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
56%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tudelano v Eibar II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tudelano
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Eibar II
EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
0.71/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.66
-36%
/
+83%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
+54%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
258 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
225 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.4
Yellow Cards
1.7
POST-MATCH
Tudelano vs Eibar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Eibar II saw off Tudelano 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Eibar II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Tudelano vs Eibar II?
Tudelano 1-3 Eibar II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tudelano vs Eibar II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tudelano 33%, draw 31%, Eibar II 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Eibar II)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024