UCAM Murcia 2-1 Antoniano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Antoniano EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.83/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.76
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Antoniano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
01.10.2023 Antoniano Antoniano 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
2-1
AWAY Antoniano
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Antoniano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia squeezed past Antoniano 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 56% of the ball to Antoniano's 44%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Antoniano led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for UCAM Murcia and 0.50 for Antoniano.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Antoniano?

UCAM Murcia 2-1 Antoniano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Antoniano?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 58%, draw 22%, Antoniano 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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