UD Alzira 1-0 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.08/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
196 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 58%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
1-0
AWAY Atletico Baleares
42% Ball Possession 58%
2 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira nicked a narrow win over Atletico Baleares 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Baleares at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UD Alzira had 42% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 58%, shots finished 2-15.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Atletico Baleares?

UD Alzira 1-0 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 29%, draw 27%, Atletico Baleares 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Baleares) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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