FAS 4-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Nov 2024

FAS
4-1 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.34/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.87
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
22.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
19.05.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS ran out comfortable winners over Alianza 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; FAS found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FAS and 0.83 for Alianza.

What was the final score of FAS vs Alianza?

FAS 4-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split FAS 33%, draw 33%, Alianza 34%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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