Hollanda 4-0 Litvanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
85%
1.11
Draw
7%
8.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.03
2-3 Goals
38%
2.47
4-5 Goals
28%
2.32
6+ Goals
18%
3.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.1
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
2%
35.0
X/1
22%
4.14
X/2
3%
35.0
X/X
2%
17.75
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
3%
35.0
2/X
3%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
84%
Home Win
85%
-0.7pp
7%
Draw
8%
-1.2pp
8%
Away Win
6%
+1.9pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.1pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Litvanya EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
3.27/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.87
+59% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +39%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
55.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
26.1 Crosses 10.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Litvanya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 0.35
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
552 Passes 162
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Litvanya Litvanya 2-3 HT 2-2 Hollanda Hollanda DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda
4-0
AWAY Litvanya
3.16 xG 0.69
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
497 Passes 192
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
54 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hollanda vs Litvanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda swept aside Litvanya 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda had 69% of the ball to Litvanya's 31%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.16 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Hollanda vs Litvanya?

Hollanda 4-0 Litvanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda vs Litvanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Hollanda 84%, draw 7%, Litvanya 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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