Karadağ 2-3 Hırvatistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 17 Nov 2025

Karadağ
2-3 HT 2-1
Hırvatistan
📅17/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
65%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
10.05
1/2
8%
21.75
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
5%
12.45
X/2
16%
4.08
X/X
10%
6.2
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
40%
1.85
2/X
4%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.7pp
65%
Away Win
62%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karadağ v Hırvatistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 66%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.22/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.16/0.23
-71% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards –

Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karadağ
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hırvatistan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.14 xG 3.32
26% Ball Possession 74%
3 Total Shots 32
1 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 7
146 Passes 628
62% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 68
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.09.2025 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 4-0 HT 1-0 Karadağ Karadağ DKE

Karadağ 2-3 Hırvatistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ
2-3
AWAY Hırvatistan
0.98 xG 2.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
221 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karadağ vs Hırvatistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan nicked a narrow win over Karadağ 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karadağ had 37% of the ball to Hırvatistan's 63%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.98 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hırvatistan's control.

What was the final score of Karadağ vs Hırvatistan?

Karadağ 2-3 Hırvatistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Hırvatistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 17%, draw 19%, Hırvatistan 65%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✗ BTTS No
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