Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Karadağ v Hırvatistan — Team-Based Signals
Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Karadağ 2-3 Hırvatistan — Actual Match Statistics
Hırvatistan nicked a narrow win over Karadağ 3-2 away from home. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%) came home.
Under the surface, Karadağ had 37% of the ball to Hırvatistan's 63%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.98 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hırvatistan's control.
Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Result & Final Score
Karadağ 2 - 3 Hırvatistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Karadağ vs Hırvatistan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 14%, draw 19%, Hırvatistan 67%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.