Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kuzey İrlanda v Lüksemburg — Team-Based Signals
Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Kuzey İrlanda
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Lüksemburg
HAZ
3-2
HT 1-1
Kuzey İrlanda
DKE
Kuzey İrlanda 1-0 Lüksemburg — Actual Match Statistics
Kuzey İrlanda nicked a narrow win over Lüksemburg 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kuzey İrlanda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Kuzey İrlanda had 40% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 60%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.22 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kuzey İrlanda and 1.17 for Lüksemburg.
What was the final score of Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg?
Kuzey İrlanda 1-0 Lüksemburg in the World Cup Qualifiers on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kuzey İrlanda 54%, draw 27%, Lüksemburg 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.