Lüksemburg 2-2 Kuzey İrlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
6.86
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
7%
7.2
X/2
13%
4.15
X/X
17%
3.35
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.05
2/X
12%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.0pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda EU Bookmakers 48%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.07/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.47
-100% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
29.1 Crosses 26.5
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.59 xG 1.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
463 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.09.2024 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 2-0 HT 2-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVUL
25.03.2022 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-3 HT 0-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda HAZ
05.09.2019 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-0 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg HAZ
10.09.2013 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
11.09.2012 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-1 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg
2-2
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
0.60 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
333 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
3 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg and Kuzey İrlanda shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 35% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lüksemburg had 53% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 47%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.60 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lüksemburg and 1.80 for Kuzey İrlanda.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda?

Lüksemburg 2-2 Kuzey İrlanda in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 28%, draw 35%, Kuzey İrlanda 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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