Hırvatistan 1-1 Portekiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.54
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
21%
4.65
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.06/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.47
-17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +83%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.4 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portekiz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
400 Passes 496
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2024 Portekiz Portekiz 2-1 HT 2-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVUL
08.06.2024 Portekiz Portekiz 1-2 HT 0-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan HAZ
17.11.2020 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 2-3 HT 1-0 Portekiz Portekiz AVUL
05.09.2020 Portekiz Portekiz 4-1 HT 1-0 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVUL
06.09.2018 Portekiz Portekiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan HAZ
10.06.2013 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 0-1 HT 0-1 Portekiz Portekiz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
1-1
AWAY Portekiz
2.14 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
401 Passes 541
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Portekiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan and Portekiz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 43% of the ball to Portekiz's 57%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.14 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portekiz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hırvatistan and 2.00 for Portekiz.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Portekiz?

Hırvatistan 1-1 Portekiz in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Portekiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 35%, draw 26%, Portekiz 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portekiz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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