Kosova 1-0 Litvanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
15%
3.24
X/2
8%
15.45
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
14.25
2/X
6%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-13.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosova EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Litvanya EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.91/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.21
+85% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
20.1 Crosses 10.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosova
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Litvanya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Litvanya Litvanya 1-2 HT 0-1 Kosova Kosova AVUL
24.03.2021 Kosova Kosova 4-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosova
1-0
AWAY Litvanya
0.60 xG 0.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
282 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kosova vs Litvanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova nicked a narrow win over Litvanya 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kosova as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kosova had 43% of the ball to Litvanya's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kosova had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kosova and 0.50 for Litvanya.

What was the final score of Kosova vs Litvanya?

Kosova 1-0 Litvanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosova vs Litvanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosova win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kosova 53%, draw 23%, Litvanya 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kosova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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