Polonya 1-2 İskoçya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.22
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
14%
6.32
X/X
13%
4.32
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
Crosses 24.8
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya
1W-3D-1L
AWAY İskoçya
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.87 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
357 Passes 408
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2024 İskoçya İskoçya 2-3 HT 0-2 Polonya Polonya AVUL
24.03.2022 İskoçya İskoçya 1-1 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya HAZ
08.10.2015 İskoçya İskoçya 2-2 HT 1-1 Polonya Polonya AVŞE
14.10.2014 Polonya Polonya 2-2 HT 1-1 İskoçya İskoçya AVŞE
05.03.2014 Polonya Polonya 0-1 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya
1-2
AWAY İskoçya
1.71 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 457
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polonya vs İskoçya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskoçya edged past Polonya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day İskoçya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Polonya had 42% of the ball to İskoçya's 58%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.71 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Polonya and 1.60 for İskoçya.

What was the final score of Polonya vs İskoçya?

Polonya 1-2 İskoçya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya vs İskoçya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Polonya 36%, draw 29%, İskoçya 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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