İskoçya vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
İskoçya v Polonya — Team-Based Signals
İskoçya vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
İskoçya 2-3 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics
Polonya nicked a narrow win over İskoçya 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Polonya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in İskoçya's favour, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.95 to 1.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İskoçya had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for İskoçya against 1.25 for Polonya.
İskoçya vs Polonya Result & Final Score
İskoçya 2 - 3 Polonya in the UEFA Nations League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
İskoçya vs Polonya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a İskoçya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İskoçya 39%, draw 32%, Polonya 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.