Sırbistan 0-0 İspanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 5 Sep 2024

Sırbistan
0-0 HT 0-0
İspanya
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Sırbistan vs İspanya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.51
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
10.45
X/2
15%
3.77
X/X
15%
5.04
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.08
2/X
5%
15.65
Value flag · X/1 at 10.45 — our 12% vs market 6.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sırbistan v İspanya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -66%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
– Crosses 24.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Sırbistan vs İspanya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
26.05.2012 İspanya İspanya 2-0 HT 0-0 Sırbistan Sırbistan HAZ

Sırbistan 0-0 İspanya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
0-0
AWAY İspanya
1.24 xG 1.38
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
165 Passes 556
73% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 45
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs İspanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan and İspanya played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sırbistan had 26% of the ball to İspanya's 74%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.24 to 1.38.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs İspanya?

Sırbistan 0-0 İspanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs İspanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 28%, draw 26%, İspanya 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İspanya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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