Estonya vs Slovakya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estonya v Slovakya — Team-Based Signals
Estonya vs Slovakya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Estonya
DKE
1-2
HT 0-0
Slovakya
DKE
Estonya 0-1 Slovakya — Actual Match Statistics
Slovakya squeezed past Estonya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slovakya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Estonya had 39% of the ball to Slovakya's 61%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.16 to 2.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slovakya's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Slovakya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estonya and 1.50 for Slovakya.
What was the final score of Estonya vs Slovakya?
Estonya 0-1 Slovakya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estonya vs Slovakya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Estonya 23%, draw 20%, Slovakya 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovakya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.