Kuzey İrlanda 2-0 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
5.68
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.1
X/1
22%
3.47
X/2
5%
10.9
X/X
12%
3.9
2/1
4%
32.5
2/2
15%
10.4
2/X
4%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey İrlanda EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +78%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey İrlanda
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lüksemburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.14 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
264 Passes 436
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2022 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-3 HT 0-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda HAZ
05.09.2019 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-0 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg HAZ
10.09.2013 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
11.09.2012 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-1 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey İrlanda
2-0
AWAY Lüksemburg
2.14 xG 0.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
253 Passes 517
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey İrlanda saw off Lüksemburg 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kuzey İrlanda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kuzey İrlanda had 37% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 63%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.14 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kuzey İrlanda and 1.25 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg?

Kuzey İrlanda 2-0 Lüksemburg in the UEFA Uluslar League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey İrlanda vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kuzey İrlanda 46%, draw 25%, Lüksemburg 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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