Belarus 0-0 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.5
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 39% vs market 37.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.57
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
12%
6.53
X/2
8%
4.3
X/X
20%
3.7
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.11
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 46%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-66% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belarus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bulgaristan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
276 Passes 302
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2020 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 0-1 HT 0-1 Belarus Belarus HAZTUR
09.06.2017 Belarus Belarus 2-1 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan DKE
13.11.2016 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-0 HT 1-0 Belarus Belarus DKE
05.03.2014 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 2-1 HT 1-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ
10.08.2011 Belarus Belarus 1-0 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
06.06.2007 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 2-1 HT 2-1 Belarus Belarus AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belarus
0-0
AWAY Bulgaristan
0.42 xG 0.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
302 Passes 459
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Belarus vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus and Bulgaristan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Belarus had 41% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.42 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belarus and 1.00 for Bulgaristan.

What was the final score of Belarus vs Bulgaristan?

Belarus 0-0 Bulgaristan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Belarus 28%, draw 33%, Bulgaristan 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bulgaristan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bulgaristan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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