Azerbaycan vs İsveç Prediction — Model Probabilities
Azerbaycan v İsveç — Team-Based Signals
Azerbaycan vs İsveç Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Azerbaycan 1-3 İsveç — Actual Match Statistics
İsveç put daylight between themselves and Azerbaycan 3-1 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Azerbaycan had 39% of the ball to İsveç's 61%, shots finished 14-30, expected goals 3.88 to 4.04.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Azerbaycan and 2.50 for İsveç.
Azerbaycan vs İsveç Result & Final Score
Azerbaycan 1 - 3 İsveç in the UEFA Nations League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Azerbaycan vs İsveç Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan 17%, draw 21%, İsveç 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.