İspanya 3-2 İsviçre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

İspanya
3-2 HT 1-0
İsviçre
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

İspanya vs İsviçre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 24% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
24%
3.55
X/2
7%
18.95
X/X
11%
8.08
2/1
8%
21.7
2/2
6%
14.35
2/X
6%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İspanya v İsviçre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY İsviçre EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.09/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.78
-13% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
593 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
19.0 Crosses 13.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

İspanya vs İsviçre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya
3W-2D-1L
AWAY İsviçre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.98 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
614 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.09.2024 İsviçre İsviçre 1-4 HT 1-2 İspanya İspanya AVUL
24.09.2022 İspanya İspanya 1-2 HT 0-1 İsviçre İsviçre AVUL
09.06.2022 İsviçre İsviçre 0-1 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya AVUL
02.07.2021 İsviçre İsviçre 1-1 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya AVR
14.11.2020 İsviçre İsviçre 1-1 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya AVUL
10.10.2020 İspanya İspanya 1-0 HT 1-0 İsviçre İsviçre AVUL

İspanya 3-2 İsviçre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya
3-2
AWAY İsviçre
3.33 xG 1.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
521 Passes 330
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İspanya vs İsviçre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya nicked a narrow win over İsviçre 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İspanya had 60% of the ball to İsviçre's 40%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.33 to 1.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İspanya's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İspanya and 0.83 for İsviçre.

What was the final score of İspanya vs İsviçre?

İspanya 3-2 İsviçre in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya vs İsviçre?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İspanya 57%, draw 24%, İsviçre 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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