İsviçre 1-4 İspanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

İsviçre
1-4 HT 1-2
İspanya
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

İsviçre vs İspanya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
17%
7.87
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
9%
9.56
X/2
18%
3.79
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.2
2/X
6%
15.6
Value flag · 1/1 at 7.87 — our 17% vs market 8.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsviçre v İspanya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsviçre EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.05/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.49
-23% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +10%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
200 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 524 · 85%
11.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.2
9.6 Crosses 38.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7

İsviçre vs İspanya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsviçre
1W-3D-2L
AWAY İspanya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.96
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
276 Passes 685
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.09.2022 İspanya İspanya 1-2 HT 0-1 İsviçre İsviçre AVUL
09.06.2022 İsviçre İsviçre 0-1 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya AVUL
02.07.2021 İsviçre İsviçre 1-1 HT 0-1 İspanya İspanya AVR
14.11.2020 İsviçre İsviçre 1-1 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya AVUL
10.10.2020 İspanya İspanya 1-0 HT 1-0 İsviçre İsviçre AVUL
03.06.2018 İspanya İspanya 1-1 HT 1-0 İsviçre İsviçre HAZ

İsviçre 1-4 İspanya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsviçre
1-4
AWAY İspanya
1.41 xG 2.08
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 3
555 Passes 245
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İsviçre vs İspanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya ran out comfortable winners over İsviçre 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İsviçre had 66% of the ball to İspanya's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.41 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İsviçre and 1.00 for İspanya.

What was the final score of İsviçre vs İspanya?

İsviçre 1-4 İspanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsviçre vs İspanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İsviçre 31%, draw 25%, İspanya 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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