Hırvatistan 1-0 Polonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
10%
4.02
X/2
11%
9.69
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya EU Bookmakers 23%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.18
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
17.0 Crosses 8.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
16.06.2008 Polonya Polonya 0-1 HT 0-0 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVR
03.06.2006 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 0-1 HT 0-0 Polonya Polonya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
1-0
AWAY Polonya
1.56 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
563 Passes 356
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Polonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan edged past Polonya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 60% of the ball to Polonya's 40%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.56 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hırvatistan and 0.50 for Polonya.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Polonya?

Hırvatistan 1-0 Polonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Polonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 45%, draw 26%, Polonya 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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