Slovakya 2-0 Azerbaycan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

Slovakya
2-0 HT 2-0
Azerbaycan
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Slovakya vs Azerbaycan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
21.25
X/1
18%
3.36
X/2
8%
16.05
X/X
14%
6.53
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
9%
13.45
2/X
4%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slovakya v Azerbaycan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan EU Bookmakers 15%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.29/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.82
-69% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
31.6 Crosses 8.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Slovakya vs Azerbaycan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Azerbaycan
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.58 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
540 Passes 297
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2022 Slovakya Slovakya 1-2 HT 0-1 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan AVUL
10.06.2022 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya AVUL
19.11.2019 Slovakya Slovakya 2-0 HT 1-0 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan AVŞE
11.06.2019 Azerbaycan Azerbaycan 1-5 HT 1-3 Slovakya Slovakya AVŞE

Slovakya 2-0 Azerbaycan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya
2-0
AWAY Azerbaycan
2.03 xG 0.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
425 Passes 369
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slovakya vs Azerbaycan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya saw off Azerbaycan 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slovakya as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Slovakya had 52% of the ball to Azerbaycan's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.03 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Slovakya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Slovakya and 0.75 for Azerbaycan.

What was the final score of Slovakya vs Azerbaycan?

Slovakya 2-0 Azerbaycan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya vs Azerbaycan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Slovakya 56%, draw 22%, Azerbaycan 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovakya), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovakya) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
8 Sep 2024
16:00 Lüksemburg vs Belarus Analysis →
19:00 Danimarka vs Sırbistan Analysis →
19:00 Bulgaristan vs Kuzey İrlanda Analysis →
19:00 Cebelitarık vs Liechtenstein Analysis →
21:45 Hırvatistan vs Polonya Analysis →
21:45 Portekiz vs İskoçya Analysis →