Portekiz 2-1 İskoçya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.0
X/1
16%
3.39
X/2
8%
20.75
X/X
10%
7.79
2/1
11%
23.6
2/2
7%
16.7
2/X
6%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya EU Bookmakers 14%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İskoçya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
466 Passes 416
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.10.2018 İskoçya İskoçya 1-3 HT 0-1 Portekiz Portekiz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz
2-1
AWAY İskoçya
3.10 xG 0.65
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
530 Passes 198
91% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portekiz vs İskoçya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz edged past İskoçya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Portekiz had 68% of the ball to İskoçya's 32%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 3.10 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portekiz's control.

What was the final score of Portekiz vs İskoçya?

Portekiz 2-1 İskoçya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz vs İskoçya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Portekiz 56%, draw 23%, İskoçya 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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