Bulgaristan vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bulgaristan v Kuzey İrlanda — Team-Based Signals
Bulgaristan vs Kuzey İrlanda Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Kuzey İrlanda
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Bulgaristan
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Bulgaristan
HAZ
Bulgaristan 1-0 Kuzey İrlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Bulgaristan edged past Kuzey İrlanda 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bulgaristan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Bulgaristan had 48% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bulgaristan and 0.33 for Kuzey İrlanda.
What was the final score of Bulgaristan vs Kuzey İrlanda?
Bulgaristan 1-0 Kuzey İrlanda in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bulgaristan vs Kuzey İrlanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bulgaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 38%, draw 27%, Kuzey İrlanda 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.