Cebelitarık 2-2 Liechtenstein — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
7.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.0
X/1
16%
3.81
X/2
13%
7.53
X/X
14%
3.41
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
13%
7.14
2/X
4%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cebelitarık EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Liechtenstein EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cebelitarık
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Liechtenstein
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.71 xG 1.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
250 Passes 391
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2022 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 2-0 HT 2-0 Liechtenstein HAZ
17.11.2020 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 1-1 HT 1-1 Liechtenstein AVUL
10.10.2020 Liechtenstein 0-1 HT 0-1 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık AVUL
16.10.2018 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 2-1 HT 0-1 Liechtenstein AVUL
09.09.2018 Liechtenstein 2-0 HT 1-0 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cebelitarık
2-2
AWAY Liechtenstein
2.32 xG 1.03
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
176 Passes 274
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Cebelitarık vs Liechtenstein
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cebelitarık and Liechtenstein shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cebelitarık at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cebelitarık had 43% of the ball to Liechtenstein's 57%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.32 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cebelitarık had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cebelitarık and 0.80 for Liechtenstein.

What was the final score of Cebelitarık vs Liechtenstein?

Cebelitarık 2-2 Liechtenstein in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cebelitarık vs Liechtenstein?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cebelitarık win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cebelitarık 41%, draw 28%, Liechtenstein 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cebelitarık) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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