Romanya 4-1 Güney Kıbrıs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 18 Nov 2024

📅18/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.67
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.5
X/1
23%
3.47
X/2
6%
16.3
X/X
13%
6.54
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
6%
13.5
2/X
4%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 15%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.48/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.30
+38% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -36%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
10.0 Crosses 9.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
12.10.2024 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 0-3 HT 0-3 Romanya Romanya AVUL
16.08.2006 Romanya Romanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya
4-1
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
2.78 xG 0.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
530 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Romanya vs Güney Kıbrıs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya cruised past Güney Kıbrıs 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Romanya as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Romanya had 66% of the ball to Güney Kıbrıs's 34%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.78 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Romanya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Romanya and 0.00 for Güney Kıbrıs.

What was the final score of Romanya vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Romanya 4-1 Güney Kıbrıs in the UEFA Uluslar League on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Romanya 64%, draw 21%, Güney Kıbrıs 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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