Güney Kıbrıs 0-3 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.91 — our 23% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
8.3
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
16.5
X/1
10%
9.99
X/2
5%
3.78
X/X
8%
4.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.15
2/X
10%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 59%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-77% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kıbrıs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Romanya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.08.2006 Romanya Romanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kıbrıs
0-3
AWAY Romanya
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 431
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Güney Kıbrıs vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya cruised past Güney Kıbrıs 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Romanya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Güney Kıbrıs had 42% of the ball to Romanya's 58%, shots finished 15-19.

What was the final score of Güney Kıbrıs vs Romanya?

Güney Kıbrıs 0-3 Romanya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kıbrıs vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Güney Kıbrıs 29%, draw 26%, Romanya 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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