Sırbistan 2-0 İsviçre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.3
X/1
14%
5.93
X/2
10%
4.8
X/X
10%
3.63
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 12% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY İsviçre EU Bookmakers 43%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
2.10/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.25
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
14.0 Crosses 24.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İsviçre
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.35 xG 2.54
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
296 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2022 Sırbistan Sırbistan 2-3 HT 2-2 İsviçre İsviçre DK
22.06.2018 Sırbistan Sırbistan 1-2 HT 1-0 İsviçre İsviçre DK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
2-0
AWAY İsviçre
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 521
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs İsviçre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan saw off İsviçre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sırbistan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sırbistan had 33% of the ball to İsviçre's 67%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İsviçre led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sırbistan and 2.50 for İsviçre.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs İsviçre?

Sırbistan 2-0 İsviçre in the UEFA Uluslar League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs İsviçre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 38%, draw 28%, İsviçre 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sırbistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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