Hırvatistan 2-1 İskoçya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 30% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
19%
3.7
X/2
9%
11.7
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
10%
9.35
2/X
6%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya EU Bookmakers 20%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-1D-2L
AWAY İskoçya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.64 xG 1.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
488 Passes 251
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2021 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 3-1 HT 1-1 İskoçya İskoçya AVR
15.10.2013 İskoçya İskoçya 2-0 HT 1-0 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan DKE
07.06.2013 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 0-1 HT 0-1 İskoçya İskoçya DKE
26.03.2008 İskoçya İskoçya 1-1 HT 1-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
2-1
AWAY İskoçya
1.25 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
497 Passes 452
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs İskoçya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan squeezed past İskoçya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 51% of the ball to İskoçya's 49%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İskoçya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hırvatistan and 1.25 for İskoçya.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs İskoçya?

Hırvatistan 2-1 İskoçya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs İskoçya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 51%, draw 25%, İskoçya 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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