Litvanya 1-2 Kosova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 12 Oct 2024

Litvanya
1-2 HT 0-1
Kosova
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Litvanya vs Kosova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 40% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.07
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
4%
15.3
X/1
5%
8.5
X/2 EV+ ✗
33%
4.03
X/X
21%
4.16
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
7%
2.48
2/X
6%
14.45
Value flag · X/2 at 4.03 — our 33% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Litvanya v Kosova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova EU Bookmakers 55%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.55
-55% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.5 Crosses 12.1
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Litvanya vs Kosova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kosova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
24.03.2021 Kosova Kosova 4-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ

Litvanya 1-2 Kosova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
1-2
AWAY Kosova
0.96 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
369 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Kosova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosova squeezed past Litvanya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kosova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Litvanya had 52% of the ball to Kosova's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.96 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Kosova?

Litvanya 1-2 Kosova in the UEFA Uluslar League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Kosova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kosova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 21%, draw 31%, Kosova 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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