Bulgaristan 0-0 Lüksemburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
15%
3.89
X/2
13%
8.16
X/X
16%
3.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
6%
7.28
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
Crosses 16.4
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bulgaristan
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Lüksemburg
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.77 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
456 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.11.2022 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
10.10.2017 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan DKE
06.09.2016 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 4-3 HT 1-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg DKE
12.09.2007 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 3-0 HT 2-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVR
11.10.2006 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bulgaristan
0-0
AWAY Lüksemburg
0.31 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 243
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bulgaristan vs Lüksemburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan and Lüksemburg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bulgaristan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bulgaristan had 55% of the ball to Lüksemburg's 45%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.31 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Bulgaristan and 0.80 for Lüksemburg.

What was the final score of Bulgaristan vs Lüksemburg?

Bulgaristan 0-0 Lüksemburg in the UEFA Uluslar League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulgaristan vs Lüksemburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bulgaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan 46%, draw 29%, Lüksemburg 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bulgaristan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bulgaristan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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