Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lüksemburg v Kuzey İrlanda — Team-Based Signals
Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Kuzey İrlanda
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Lüksemburg
HAZ
3-2
HT 1-1
Kuzey İrlanda
DKE
1-1
HT 1-0
Lüksemburg
DKE
Lüksemburg 1-3 Kuzey İrlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Kuzey İrlanda saw off Lüksemburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kuzey İrlanda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lüksemburg had 49% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 51%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.53 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lüksemburg and 1.83 for Kuzey İrlanda.
What was the final score of Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda?
Lüksemburg 1-3 Kuzey İrlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 26%, draw 29%, Kuzey İrlanda 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.