Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lüksemburg v Kuzey İrlanda — Team-Based Signals
Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lüksemburg 1-3 Kuzey İrlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Kuzey İrlanda saw off Lüksemburg 3-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kuzey İrlanda as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Lüksemburg had 49% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 51%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.53 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lüksemburg and 1.83 for Kuzey İrlanda.
Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Result & Final Score
Lüksemburg 1 - 3 Kuzey İrlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lüksemburg vs Kuzey İrlanda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey İrlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 23%, draw 34%, Kuzey İrlanda 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.