Litvanya 2-3 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

Litvanya
2-3 HT 2-2
Hollanda
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Litvanya vs Hollanda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
12.23
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
81%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.56
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
34.5
1/2
12%
31.5
1/X
3%
34.5
X/1
2%
34.5
X/2
21%
3.63
X/X
6%
12.4
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
48%
1.15
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
5%
+0.8pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.5pp
81%
Away Win
85%
-4.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.7pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Litvanya v Hollanda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 91%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.65/3.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/0.43
-100% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
8.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.9
11.6 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Litvanya 2-3 Hollanda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
2-3
AWAY Hollanda
0.35 xG 1.12
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
162 Passes 552
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda edged past Litvanya 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Litvanya had 27% of the ball to Hollanda's 73%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.35 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Hollanda?

Litvanya 2-3 Hollanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 6%, draw 13%, Hollanda 81%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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