Kuzey Makedonya 5-0 Lihtenştayn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.11
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.34
No
50%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.31
2-3 Goals
30%
1.96
4-5 Goals
34%
2.55
6+ Goals
16%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.11
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
3%
34.5
X/1
22%
3.57
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X
6%
13.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
3%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 0.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
85%
-5.4pp
14%
Draw
9%
+4.6pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
26%
+24.1pp
50%
BTTS No
74%
-24.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.87/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/3.38
+78% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -35%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 1.2
18.6 Crosses 1.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Lihtenştayn
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.32 xG 0.08
76% Ball Possession 24%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
646 Passes 146
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
38 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-3 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
08.10.2021 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-4 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
28.03.2021 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 5-0 HT 1-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
09.10.2017 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 4-0 HT 2-0 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn DKE
24.03.2017 Lihtenştayn Lihtenştayn 0-3 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
5-0
AWAY Lihtenştayn
2.35 xG 0.09
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
433 Passes 140
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Lihtenştayn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya swept aside Lihtenştayn 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kuzey Makedonya as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 71% of the ball to Lihtenştayn's 29%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.35 to 0.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Kuzey Makedonya and 0.00 for Lihtenştayn.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Lihtenştayn?

Kuzey Makedonya 5-0 Lihtenştayn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Lihtenştayn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 79%, draw 14%, Lihtenştayn 7%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Over 2.5
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