Almanya 3-1 Kuzey İrlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.62
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.37
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.8
X/1
19%
3.81
X/2
3%
22.8
X/X
8%
9.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.9
2/2
2%
19.15
2/X
5%
27.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
76%
-2.2pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.5pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.98/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/3.19
+76% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -94% / +31%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
57.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
22.9 Crosses 11.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.94 xG 1.04
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
742 Passes 199
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2019 Almanya Almanya 6-1 HT 2-1 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda AVŞE
09.09.2019 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 0-2 HT 0-0 Almanya Almanya AVŞE
05.10.2017 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-3 HT 0-2 Almanya Almanya DKE
11.10.2016 Almanya Almanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda DKE
04.06.2005 Kuzey İrlanda Kuzey İrlanda 1-4 HT 1-1 Almanya Almanya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya
3-1
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda
2.60 xG 0.28
80% Ball Possession 20%
11 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
679 Passes 115
90% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Almanya vs Kuzey İrlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya beat Kuzey İrlanda 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Almanya had 80% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda's 20%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 2.60 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almanya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Almanya and 0.60 for Kuzey İrlanda.

What was the final score of Almanya vs Kuzey İrlanda?

Almanya 3-1 Kuzey İrlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya vs Kuzey İrlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Almanya 74%, draw 18%, Kuzey İrlanda 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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