Gürcistan 3-0 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

Gürcistan
3-0 HT 2-0
Bulgaristan
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Gürcistan vs Bulgaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
3.51
X/2
5%
21.5
X/X
9%
6.7
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
5%
21.3
2/X
5%
29.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.51 — our 31% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gürcistan v Bulgaristan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 11%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.00
-60% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.1
– Crosses 4.7
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Gürcistan vs Bulgaristan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bulgaristan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.67 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
324 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.06.2022 Gürcistan Gürcistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan AVUL
05.06.2022 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 2-5 HT 0-2 Gürcistan Gürcistan AVUL
08.09.2021 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 4-1 HT 3-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ
14.10.2009 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 6-2 HT 6-1 Gürcistan Gürcistan DKE
15.10.2008 Gürcistan Gürcistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan DKE
12.11.2005 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 6-2 HT 3-0 Gürcistan Gürcistan HAZ

Gürcistan 3-0 Bulgaristan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan
3-0
AWAY Bulgaristan
2.47 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
564 Passes 362
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 5
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gürcistan vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan ran out comfortable winners over Bulgaristan 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gürcistan as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gürcistan had 60% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 40%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.47 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gürcistan and 3.00 for Bulgaristan.

What was the final score of Gürcistan vs Bulgaristan?

Gürcistan 3-0 Bulgaristan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gürcistan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 66%, draw 19%, Bulgaristan 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gürcistan), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gürcistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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