Türkiye 0-6 İspanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.45
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
5%
11.65
X/2
20%
4.06
X/X
9%
6.19
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.85
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.45 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
17%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
62%
Away Win
62%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya EU Bookmakers 66%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.15/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.31
+150% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -33%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 85%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
7.0 Crosses 28.6
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye
0W-0D-2L
AWAY İspanya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
01.04.2009 Türkiye Türkiye 1-2 HT 1-0 İspanya İspanya DKE
28.03.2009 İspanya İspanya 1-0 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye
0-6
AWAY İspanya
0.49 xG 2.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 12
8 Corners 4
445 Passes 468
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Türkiye vs İspanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya ran out comfortable winners over Türkiye 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Türkiye had 50% of the ball to İspanya's 50%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.49 to 2.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İspanya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Türkiye and 1.50 for İspanya.

What was the final score of Türkiye vs İspanya?

Türkiye 0-6 İspanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye vs İspanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 15%, draw 23%, İspanya 62%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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