Lüksemburg 0-1 Slovakya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.05
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.06
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
4%
17.05
X/1
12%
8.82
X/2
10%
3.96
X/X
14%
3.86
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.41
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovakya EU Bookmakers 56%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.49/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.83
+0% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
9.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
9.8 Crosses 8.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slovakya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.73 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2023 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya AVŞE
23.03.2023 Slovakya Slovakya 0-0 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVŞE
12.10.2015 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 2-4 HT 0-3 Slovakya Slovakya AVŞE
27.03.2015 Slovakya Slovakya 3-0 HT 3-0 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg AVŞE
09.02.2011 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ
08.06.2005 Lüksemburg Lüksemburg 0-4 HT 0-2 Slovakya Slovakya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg
0-1
AWAY Slovakya
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg vs Slovakya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya squeezed past Lüksemburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slovakya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Lüksemburg had 47% of the ball to Slovakya's 53%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovakya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lüksemburg and 2.17 for Slovakya.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg vs Slovakya?

Lüksemburg 0-1 Slovakya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg vs Slovakya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovakya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg 25%, draw 23%, Slovakya 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovakya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovakya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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