Chippenham Town 0-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 34% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.9pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.47/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.74
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-2 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-1
AWAY Salisbury
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past Chippenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chippenham Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 48% of the ball to Salisbury's 52%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Salisbury?

Chippenham Town 0-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 41%, draw 27%, Salisbury 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chippenham Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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