Chorley 2-2 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.23
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
16.12.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
23.09.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
2-2
AWAY Scunthorpe United
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley and Scunthorpe United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chorley had 43% of the ball to Scunthorpe United's 57%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chorley and 1.67 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Scunthorpe United?

Chorley 2-2 Scunthorpe United in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chorley 36%, draw 27%, Scunthorpe United 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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