Curzon Ashton 0-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.52
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
17%
4.17
6+
9%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.52 — our 33% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town The Market 34%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
16.12.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
23.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
11.03.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-1 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
12.11.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
05.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-1
AWAY Brackley Town
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Curzon Ashton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Brackley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 65% of the ball to Brackley Town's 35%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.00 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Brackley Town?

Curzon Ashton 0-1 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 39%, draw 26%, Brackley Town 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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