Brackley Town 4-0 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.52
Over
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.26
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
22%
5.44
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton The Market 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
1.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.17
-9% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
23.09.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
11.03.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-1 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
12.11.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
05.04.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
20.11.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
4-0
AWAY Curzon Ashton
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town ran out comfortable winners over Curzon Ashton 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 36% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 64%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Brackley Town and 1.17 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Brackley Town 4-0 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 43%, draw 27%, Curzon Ashton 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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