Leamington 2-1 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.65
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
21%
3.94
6+
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 The Market 43%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.59/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.17
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
18.02.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
29.10.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
02.04.2022 Leamington Leamington 0-1 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
23.10.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
03.12.2019 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
2-1
AWAY Darlington 1883
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington edged past Darlington 1883 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Leamington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leamington had 42% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 58%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leamington and 0.83 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Darlington 1883?

Leamington 2-1 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leamington 37%, draw 25%, Darlington 1883 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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