Hamilton 3-1 Musselburgh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.11
Draw
24%
8.11
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.46
Over 2.5
52%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.97
2-3 Goals
35%
2.31
4-5 Goals
28%
2.27
6+ Goals
11%
3.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
85%
-29.5pp
24%
Draw
9%
+14.7pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
25%
+22.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
75%
-22.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Musselburgh EU Bookmakers 9%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamilton
3-1
AWAY Musselburgh
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Musselburgh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton got the better of Musselburgh 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamilton had 66% of the ball to Musselburgh's 34%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Musselburgh?

Hamilton 3-1 Musselburgh in the Scotland - Cup on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Musselburgh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 55%, draw 24%, Musselburgh 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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