Crawley Town vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crawley Town 1-1 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Crawley Town and Burton Albion with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.
A gentle 41% lean on Crawley Town didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 2.05, about 49% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Crawley Town's favour, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.30 to 0.28.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Crawley Town against 0.50 for Burton Albion.
Crawley Town vs Burton Albion Result & Final Score
Crawley Town 1-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crawley Town vs Burton Albion Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 41%, draw 29%, Burton Albion 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crawley Town), BTTS No went the other way.